How we grade every setup
Where our setups come from, how we build them, when a setup is a hit or a miss, and why misses stay on the public record.
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Where the setups come from
We read public commentary from 21,576+ pro traders on X, YouTube and TradingView. We do not see their positions.
We filter out spam, junk analysis and any call with a projected move under 1%.
How a setup is built
We keep a setup only where the pros covering a ticker agree. If they don't agree, there is no setup.
Each setup has a ticker, a direction, an entry, a stop and a target. You decide. You place the trade with your own broker.
When a setup is a hit or a miss
Every setup has two stops. Stop 1 is the normal exit if the trade goes against you. Stop 2 (Max Stop) is the furthest point at which the idea is wrong. We grade against Stop 2.
A setup is a hit when it reaches Target 1, Target 2, or at least a 2% move in the forecast direction before Stop 2. 2% is the smallest move we count.
A setup is a miss when Stop 2 is hit first.
Hit Stop 1: the price reached Stop 1 but not Stop 2, and no target. It is shown in the public table and is not counted as a hit or a miss.
No change: the week ended without a target, a 2% move or a stop. It stays in the ledger and is left out of the win rate. These setups average out close to zero: from entry to the Friday close, the average was +0.5% and the median 0% (3,116 setups, checked Oct 28, 2026).
Setups still open during the week are not counted until the week ends.
Run-up and drawdown in the signal history
Each row in a ticker's signal history shows two numbers. Both are measured from the entry price over the full day or week.
Run-up is the best move in the setup's direction. For a long, how far the high went above entry. For a short, how far the low went below entry.
Drawdown is the worst move against the setup. For a long, how far the low went below entry. For a short, how far the high went above entry.
Run-up shows how much room the setup gave you, even on a No hit. Drawdown shows how much pressure you would have taken, and whether your stop gave the trade enough room.
Both come from the period's high and low, so they do not show which came first. On a stopped setup the run-up may have come before the stop, and the drawdown includes any move after the stop was hit.
Why the stop matters
We checked every setup that hit a stop and compared two exits: selling at the stop, or holding to the end of the day or week (12,873 setups that hit Stop 1, checked Oct 28, 2026). Weekly setups are measured from the Monday open.
Holding made the average loss bigger. Weekly setups at Stop 1 lost 2.05% at the stop and 2.50% held to the Friday close. Daily setups at Stop 1 lost 1.47% at the stop and 2.42% held to the close.
The bigger gap is the worst point along the way. Weekly setups that hit Stop 2 lost 3.99% at the stop on average. Holders were down 8.32% at the worst point of the week, about twice as much.
Holding does not always end worse. Between 50% and 58% of stopped setups closed worse than the stop, and 20% of weekly setups that hit Stop 2 ended the week in profit. The stop caps the loss. It cannot tell you where the bottom is.
These figures leave out gaps and slippage, which can make a real fill worse than the stop price.
Misses stay on the record
We grade every setup in public, misses included. Every miss stays on the record.
Visitors see the public track record with a one-week delay. Pro members see current setups.
See every graded setup on the public track record.
The numbers today
73.6% win rate across 20,569 graded calls: 15,147 hits and 5,422 misses, over 21 months.
As of October 28, 2026. These numbers are read from our live track record, which refreshes every few minutes.
What the numbers don't mean
The win rate counts hits and misses. It is not a return, and it does not show how much any trade made or lost.
This is research, not personal financial advice. Trading involves risk.
Past results do not guarantee future results.
Change log
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